Klimatbloggen

2018-09-13

70 procent sannolikhet för El Nino 2018

WHO tror att en ny El Nino börjar i slutet av året. Det ger i så fall stigande temperatur.

WMO: 70% chance of El Niño by end of 2018

There is a 70% chance of an El Niño developing by the end of this year, according to the latest update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Its intensity is currently uncertain, but a strong event appears unlikely.

The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a naturally occurring phenomenon involving fluctuating ocean surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, coupled with changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation. It has a major influence on weather patterns over many parts of the world.

Scientific progress on the understanding and modelling of ENSO, underpinned by major observational programmes, has improved monitoring and prediction capabilities, helping society to prepare for the associated hazards such as heavy rains, floods and drought. ENSO also affects global temperature.

Till Alla
Taggar: El Niño ENSO WMO

Red: Hans Iwan Bratt. epost: hibratt@gmail.com.